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Prediction markets
9 active markets
· category “Oil”
How it works
How to trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
28%
chance
Yes
No
$463K
Vol.
Aug 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$88
60 trading now
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31?
40+
99%
30+
99%
5 more
$811K
Vol.
Jul 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
54 trading now
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of July?
20-40
76%
0-20
31%
3 more
$101K
Vol.
Jul 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$33
51 trading now
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of July 6?
<150
91%
150-174
32%
3 more
$161K
Vol.
Jul 12
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$27
59 trading now
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
48%
chance
Yes
No
$177K
Vol.
Sep 30
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$52
44 trading now
Crude Oil all time high by...?
6%
chance
Yes
No
$1.58M
Vol.
Dec 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$176
60 trading now
US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by...?
34%
chance
Yes
No
$5.9K
Vol.
Aug 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$44
43 trading now
Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?
No Return to Normal Traffic in 2026
45%
November
22%
5 more
$23K
Vol.
Dec 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$55
39 trading now
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of July 13?
175+
50%
100-124
48%
3 more
NEW
$305.36
Vol.
Jul 19
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$50
27 trading now
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