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Prediction markets
42 active markets
· category “AI”
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Claude 4.8 released by...?
May 31
99%
June 15
99%
2 more
$680K
Vol.
Jul 31
ai
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
59 trading now
GPT-5.6 released by...?
July 31
99%
July 17
99%
3 more
$4.26M
Vol.
Jul 31
ai
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
61 trading now
GPT-5.6 released on...?
July 9
99%
July 14
68%
37 more
$1.01M
Vol.
Jul 31
ai
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
55 trading now
Largest Company end of July?
NVIDIA
99%
Company D
68%
27 more
$1.44M
Vol.
Jul 31
ai
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
64 trading now
Claude Mythos: Text Arena Debut?
1490+
99%
1480+
99%
2 more
$37K
Vol.
Dec 31
ai
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
47 trading now
Next GPT Model: Text Arena Debut?
1470+
99%
1460+
99%
5 more
$184K
Vol.
Dec 31
ai
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
54 trading now
Next xAI Model: Arena Debut?
1480+
1%
1440+
1%
1 more
$65K
Vol.
Dec 31
ai
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
40 trading now
Claude Sonnet 5: Text Arena Debut?
1470+
1%
1480+
1%
2 more
$25K
Vol.
Dec 31
ai
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
38 trading now
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?
July 30
88%
No release by July 31
29%
30 more
$112K
Vol.
Jul 31
ai
Potential payout
$25
→
$28
41 trading now
3rd Largest Company end of July?
Alphabet
90%
Company B
68%
27 more
$45K
Vol.
Jul 31
ai
Potential payout
$25
→
$28
45 trading now
Will Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q2 revenue (USD) be above __?
$39B
99%
$40B
83%
3 more
$14K
Vol.
Jul 17
ai
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
43 trading now
Next Grok Model: Text Arena Debut?
1440+
99%
1460+
99%
3 more
$38K
Vol.
Dec 31
ai
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
53 trading now
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