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Prediction markets

11 active markets · category “Science”

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Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Hong Wang
Hong Wang99%
Jacob Tsimerman
Jacob Tsimerman99%9 more
$570KVol. Jul 30science
Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?

Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?

October 31
October 3178%
August 30
August 3075%2 more
$1.4KVol. Jan 1science
2026 July 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

2026 July 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

1st hottest
1st hottest82%
3rd hottest
3rd hottest48%2 more
$3.4KVol. Jul 31science
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes July 6 - July 12?

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes July 6 - July 12?

0
74%YesNo
1
37%YesNo
$3.9KVol. Jul 12science
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?

FDA approves Retatrutide this year?

16%

chance

YesNo
$576KVol. Dec 31science
How many 5.5 or above earthquakes July 6 - July 12?

How many 5.5 or above earthquakes July 6 - July 12?

≤8
94%YesNo
9
16%YesNo
$4.5KVol. Jul 12science
July 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

July 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

1.20–1.24ºC59%
1.15–1.19ºC51%4 more
$2.1KVol. Aug 1science
FDA approves Daraxonrasib this year?

FDA approves Daraxonrasib this year?

99%

chance

YesNo
$420.01Vol. Dec 31science
Precipitation in Seoul in July?

Precipitation in Seoul in July?

100mm+52%
50-60mm49%6 more
NEW $70.00Vol. Jul 31science
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

7%

chance

YesNo
$116KVol. Mar 31science
How many Tornadoes in the US in July?

How many Tornadoes in the US in July?

<10053%
100–12940%7 more
$900.01Vol. Aug 1science